Ekonomi Kita

1. Apakah penanda aras untuk mengukur pergerakan ekonomi domestik bagi Malaysia? terdapat tiga penarafan indeks yang berbeza, iaitu Leading Index (LI), Coincident Index (CI) dan Lagging Index (LI).

Coincident Index (CI): Untuk tempoh Jan 09, menurun sebanyak 1.1% @ 113.7 Mata, seperti yang berikut:-

1. Real Gross Import (-0.5%)
2. Real Salaries & Wages in manufacturing sector (-0.4%)
3. Index of Industrial Production (-0.3%)
4. Real Contribution in EPF (-0.2%)
5. Total employment in Manufacturing Sector (-0.1%)

Leading Index (LI): Digunakan sebagai penanda aras untuk jangkaan prestasi ekonomi untuk bulan berikutnya. LI untuk tempoh Jan 09 menurun sebanyak 0.4% @ 157.3 Mata, seperti yang berikut:-

1. Real Total trade of 8 major partners (-0.7%)
2. Ratio of price to unit labour cost (-0.4%)
3. Real Money supply (-0.3%)
4. New registered Company (-0.2%)

Penurunan berterusan Indeks LI dan CI untuk tempoh 6 bulan sebelumnya (Jun 08- Dec 08) menunjukkan ekonomi kita akan terus perlahan dan lembap untuk bulan-bulan akan datang.

Ini adalah laporan untuk tempoh Jan 09. Pengurangan dalam jumlah simpanan EPF, perdagangan luar negeri, dan jumlah tenaga kerja dalam sektor pengilangan pada pendapat saya menggambarkan pengecilan kuasa beli isirumah nasional.

Bacaan lanjut, klik sini

2. Prestasi Dagangan Luar Negara (External Trade) dilaporkan seperti yang berikut:-

In 2008, Malaysia’s external trade balance posted a surplus of RM142.0 billion, surged 41.5% or RM41.7 billion, as against RM100.3 billion recorded last year. Total exports increased by 9.6% to RM663.5 billion while imports expanded by 3.3% to RM521.5 billion. (Klik sini)

• In December 2008, Malaysia’s trade surplus showed a surge of 24.0% to RM11.7 billion compared with RM9.4 billion in the corresponding month of 2007. This was the 134th consecutive month of trade surplus since November 1997. (Klik sini)
• For the first month of the year 2009, Malaysia continued to record a trade surplus of RM8.8 billion as compared with RM9.7 billion a year ago. However, trade surplus was lower by 9.2% or RM894.6 million due to a decrease of exports and imports of 27.8% or RM14.7 billion and 32.0% or RM13.9 billion respectively. This was the 135th consecutive month of trade surplus since November 1997. (Klik sini)
• During the period January to February 2009, total trade amounted to RM135.64 billion, a decrease of 25.2% from the corresponding period of 2008. Exports decreased by 22.2% to RM77.86 billion, while total imports contracted by 28.9% to RM57.78 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of RM20.08 billion. (Klik Sini)

Sila layari http://www.statistics.gov.my di bahagian 'Latest Statistical Releases' untuk mengetahui statistik-statistik lain yang surat-surat khabar kita dan Tivo-Tivo kita geli nak siarkan.

Ada masa, cuba ke http://www.bnm.gov.my untuk data-data ekonomi yang lebih mengerikan.

Selamat mencuba.